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WHCA31 TAPA
HURRICANE DANNY ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
10:50 AM ECT FRI, AUG 21, 2015

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

….DANNY STRENGTHENS INTO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE…

AT 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 48.2 WEST. DANNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H), AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH (165 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DANNY IS ABOUT TO ENCOUNTER A LESS CONDUCIVE ENVIRONMENT, AND WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE DANNY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

DANNY REMAINS A TINY HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES (30 KM) FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES (110 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB (28.82 INCHES).

A WATCH COULD COME INTO EFFECT LATER TODAY FOLLOWED BY A WARNING DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. RESIDENTS SHOULD START IMPLEMENTING THE PORTION OF THEIR HURRICANE PLAN THAT MAY REQUIRE MORE THAN 48 HOURS TO COMPLETE. OTHERWISE, RESIDENTS SHOULD STAND READY TO EXECUTE THEIR STORM/HURRICANE PLAN IF A WATCH IS ISSUED TODAY.

REPEATING THE 11 AM ECT POSITION

LOCATION…14.0N 48.2W ABOUT 850 MI…1575 KM ESE OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H 
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB…28.82 INCHES 

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 5 PM ECT

FORECASTER GEORGE BRAITHWAITE